I posted a comment on David Pinto's Baseball Musings in response to his post on the Hidalgo trade
, which he states that the Mets come out on top because get more Win Shares in the trade (4-2). This is my response:
Yes, the Mets win the trade 4-2 in Win Shares, but they have to remove someone to their lineup (Spencer/Garcia) and add someone to the bullpen. Take a look at Spencer's numbers - they are better than Hidalgo this year. Granted, Hidalgo has had some impressive numbers in the past, but that doesn't mean he's going to magically find his old skills just be being traded. I think this is pretty much a wash for the Mets. Weathers can be replaced (he was being overused, anyway), and Hidalgo will probably produce the same as Spencer/Garcia. Of course, Hidalgo has the POTENTIAL to put up some big numbers, but if he couldn't do it in the Astro's little bitty stadium, then he's not going to put them up in the more pitcher-friendly Shea Stadium.
I don't feel comfortable comparing Win Shares in this instance because you're trading a right fielder for a middle reliever. And I'm not even including the money factor, which the Mets can certainly take it on.
posted by shawn
: 6/17/2004 07:13:00 PM -