Neyer clarifies his explanation of platoon splits
Rob Neyer has a new article up that helps explain
his previous article
on platoon splits. In case you missed it, I commented about the article here
. Here is a portion of his explanation:
Let me be very clear about this: Yes, there most certainly is a difference to hitting against righties and lefties. As a group, right-handed hitters fare roughly eight percent better against left-handed pitchers than they do against right-handed pitchers.
With me so far? Of course, because that's the easy part. Now, here's the hard part ... All (or almost all) right-handed hitters innately have that 8-percent edge against left-handed pitching. No matter what a right-handed hitter did last year against left-handed pitching, or even over the last five years (or more), it's highly likely that he's innately 8 percent better against lefties than righties.
I know it doesn't make any sense, and you can find plenty of examples of players who seem to "prove" otherwise, but all those examples are within the range of what we would expect to find. They're called "outliers."
Go ahead and read the article.
posted by shawn
: 2/09/2004 08:35:00 PM -