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The Greatest Game

Saturday, January 10, 2004

Can Brett Tomko be a bargain at any price? 

I read this article this morning, and I just had to chuckle to myself. The jist of the article is that the Giants got a bargain in signing Brett Tomko to a $1.5 million contract, of which $1 million is deferred to 2006. The article goes on to say, Tomko for $500,000 in 2004 money is clearly a great and wonderful deal for the Giants. Is it? Is it REALLY? Let's take a look at Tomko's numbers, shall we? Let's focus on his past 3 seasons, though Tomko was out most of 2001. Here are his raw numbers for the 2001-2003 while playing for Seattle, San Diego, and St. Louis, 3 home parks that are VERY friendly to pitchers :

ERABAAOPS
2001-20034.91.287.826


And that was in 3 pitchers' parks. So let's take a look at his Home/Away splits:

ERABAAOPS
Home3.65.260???
Away6.44.316???

OK, I couldn't find his 3-year OPS for his home/away splits, but I did find it for 2003, and they are:

Home OPS for 2003.703
Away OPS for 20031.008

Keep in mind that Tomko is now going to be pitching half his games in PacBell, which I thought was very friendly to hitters, but is actually about average for hitters and pitchers.

And another stat that shows how bad he was against the league, is ERA+, which is a park adjusted stat where 100 is average. Brett Tomko averaged an 81 over the past 3 years. AN 81!!! And this guy is a bargain? Yeah, he's a bargain. A bargain for the other teams in the division who are going to pound the bejeebers out of him.
# posted by shawn : 1/10/2004 12:01:00 PM -
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